Asian League · resolved market
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d63a47c650b628874a24347dfc4fa91466dd92caf81ce70e7c66d2013a55bc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 56c | 1,031$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.81 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 887.27$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.27 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 524.97$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.36 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 56c | 459.68$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 44c | 459$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 69c | 286.76$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.21 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 43c | 202.49$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 202.36$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…2ab7backed Over | 41c | 199.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 189.53$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 48c | 187$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 52c | 187$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 129.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.37 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 18c | 124.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 80c | 106.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 31c | 86.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 39c | 76.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 53c | 48.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 46.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 35c | 44.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 44c | 36.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 52c | 26.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…7291backed Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…d3cbbacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Riyadh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.