Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d9a137645097d8a8517a846681ae7b120012b0d1dde5f94098e62b6e5755269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 59c | 344.08$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.07 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Over | 41c | 201.06$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…b7c4backed Under | 80c | 154.08$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Over | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 26c | 149.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed Over | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 108.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 58c | 86.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Under | 58c | 70.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 58c | 60.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 54c | 49.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 42c | 47.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over | 28c | 43.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Over | 26c | 42.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -8.3wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…a974backed Under | 63c | 37.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Over | 43c | 29.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 69c | 20.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier PlayoffsDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.