MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dedf9f29af3cae742d5d6acd0da8f476d6643d8020c9bd8c2d667ab5490c550
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Rays, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 44c | 44,976$19,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,789.34 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rays | 56c | 20,169$11,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,874.4 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Rays | 56c | 7,143$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.86 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rays | 65c | 6,168$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.67 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Nationals | 5c | 5,512$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.97 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Rays | 56c | 4,480$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.2 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 32c | 3,212$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 4c | 2,278$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rays | 55c | 1,796$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.05 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Rays | 57c | 1,500$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.69 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 56c | 1,414$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.22 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Nationals | 45c | 1,002$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.9 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Nationals | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rays | 56c | 872$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.68 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 43c | 697$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.71 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 43c | 561.56$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.47 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Rays | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Nationals | 21c | 465.59$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Rays | 54c | 465$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.22 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Nationals | 42c | 458.23$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.46 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked Rays | 59c | 406.78$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.78 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Rays | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Nationals | 45c | 388.89$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Rays | 52c | 382.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.08 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rays | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 43c | 349.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.75 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…6712backed Rays | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Rays | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 42c | 300$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rays | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 18c | 260.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rays | 56c | 260$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Nationals | 45c | 260$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nationals | 21c | 253.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rays | 56c | 236$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Nationals | 42c | 224.92$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Nationals | 45c | 220.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…dce6backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…7066backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91a…5145backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…0439backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…215fbacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…050cbacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…12e8backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…c60fbacked Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…1430backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…661fbacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…fdfabacked Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…6b50backed Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…64e9backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…50adbacked Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e10…5a63backed Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…c629backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bc…1d5ebacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…3f56backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…efc9backed Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…c3febacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…07eebacked Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…68fabacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b1…7b5cbacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…68b5backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…71f1backed Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…0a46backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf5…65f8backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…8886backed Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0091…3d74backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…1edebacked Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d5…cbebbacked Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…77d5backed Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed9…f023backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…3cf2backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3acb…44e7backed Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…5aa9backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…c35abacked Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23a5…a63bbacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede9…331bbacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8809…7b38backed Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e2…d23cbacked Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…de8ebacked Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…92b6backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08e4…55b9backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…11c7backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2a…f86dbacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fe…594fbacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x278e…8675backed Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…abc4backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb7…ec7fbacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rays vs. Nationalsthis page
- Rays vs. Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.