Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1df073bc7a4fb330ea26e2cb4a9b50366b611c4313e0c3dfeb439178cf097f55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JD Gamingof JD Gaming, Invictus Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 26,029$17,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,162.29 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed JD Gaming | 34c | 24,910$8,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,559.2 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked JD Gaming | 34c | 19,208$6,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,677.28 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Invictus Gaming | 66c | 13,809$9,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,114.19 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Invictus Gaming | 67c | 13,677$9,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,152.06 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked JD Gaming | 34c | 7,647$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,066.52 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Invictus Gaming | 64c | 6,666$4,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,266.24 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed JD Gaming | 36c | 6,494$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,157.58 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 2,980$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.98 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed JD Gaming | 33c | 2,926$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.34 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Invictus Gaming | 68c | 1,086$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.73 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Invictus Gaming | 69c | 973.41$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.82 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed JD Gaming | 34c | 948.29$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.87 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Invictus Gaming | 68c | 699.01$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.21 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed JD Gaming | 37c | 653.99$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.22 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Invictus Gaming | 64c | 608.72$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.55 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed JD Gaming | 32c | 599.74$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.82 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed JD Gaming | 35c | 549.14$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.94 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed JD Gaming | 36c | 448.66$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.14 | 322 | 34.5%111 W · 211 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed JD Gaming | 37c | 391.07$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.75 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Invictus Gaming | 67c | 363.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.87 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed Invictus Gaming | 63c | 309.96$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Invictus Gaming | 67c | 305.82$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.9 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked JD Gaming | 34c | 238.07$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.12 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed JD Gaming | 33c | 189.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.3 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed JD Gaming | 32c | 161.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.76 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed JD Gaming | 34c | 155.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.54 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Invictus Gaming | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 215 | 59.5%128 W · 87 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked JD Gaming | 33c | 119.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Invictus Gaming | 67c | 94.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed JD Gaming | 33c | 91.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Invictus Gaming | 69c | 80.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 234 | 43.2%101 W · 133 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Invictus Gaming | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed JD Gaming | 33c | 75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Invictus Gaming | 63c | 67.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed JD Gaming | 33c | 52.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 48.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Invictus Gaming | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 416 | 60.1%250 W · 166 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…15b2backed JD Gaming | 37c | 38.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Invictus Gaming | 69c | 34.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…5c00backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 32.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Invictus Gaming | 34c | 31.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed JD Gaming | 66c | 29.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Invictus Gaming | 68c | 29.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Invictus Gaming | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12cb…4fe3backed Invictus Gaming | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9811…6875backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Invictus Gaming | 67c | 25.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Invictus Gaming | 67c | 17.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ba…a3d6backed Invictus Gaming | 64c | 17.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Invictus Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.