Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bryant vs. Vermont
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e5c7db55f37bb7972901043733427f73b5692b556694fc3ad7c675da651b6a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vermontof Bryant, Vermont
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Vermont | 57c | 1,382$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.05 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Bryant | 58c | 499.96$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Bryant | 51c | 420$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Bryant | 46c | 357.41$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.41 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Bryant | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Bryant | 51c | 210$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Vermont | 42c | 186.52$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Vermont | 42c | 113$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Vermont | 42c | 89.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcd…1083backed Bryant | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0f…b9b7backed Vermont | 51c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b31…17a8backed Vermont | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c1…0cfebacked Vermont | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…17adbacked Bryant | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…3a11backed Bryant | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c1…eb98backed Bryant | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d7…dee1backed Vermont | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…1871backed Bryant | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…d0b0backed Vermont | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…3261backed Vermont | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…f382backed Bryant | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…f1a1backed Vermont | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 37cpaid | +225.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…a03bbacked Bryant | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…8a28backed Vermont | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…5e54backed Bryant | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fe…070dbacked Vermont | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x390f…db81backed Bryant | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ec…9ccebacked Vermont | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…4006backed Vermont | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…716bbacked Vermont | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b47…551abacked Vermont | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…f903backed Vermont | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…39b2backed Bryant | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…6843backed Bryant | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddb…a54cbacked Bryant | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb446…3a0ebacked Vermont | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…53e7backed Bryant | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd150…5aa1backed Vermont | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac30…f1cfbacked Bryant | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…82a0backed Bryant | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…e10bbacked Bryant | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…6f2bbacked Vermont | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…14d6backed Bryant | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…22dabacked Bryant | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…7dd4backed Bryant | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa563…8fb3backed Bryant | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…be46backed Vermont | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd55…91f7backed Bryant | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…f6abbacked Vermont | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…bd20backed Vermont | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45c…3f7abacked Vermont | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…346fbacked Vermont | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…08cdbacked Vermont | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc588…d71fbacked Bryant | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…66bebacked Vermont | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…77ebbacked Bryant | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…f423backed Vermont | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…1c1cbacked Bryant | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c00…01f2backed Bryant | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ac…2057backed Vermont | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7e…c3b3backed Vermont | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05dc…9aa9backed Vermont | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ec…1d30backed Vermont | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…79dfbacked Bryant | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1168…95a2backed Vermont | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6e…23aabacked Bryant | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f07…3c8fbacked Bryant | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4804…43e0backed Bryant | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28cf…34d8backed Bryant | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e8…2effbacked Bryant | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…4e53backed Vermont | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…2d80backed Vermont | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9c…4f37backed Vermont | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4826…8969backed Bryant | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc379…6efabacked Bryant | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cb…8ad5backed Bryant | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…54a4backed Vermont | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…aa93backed Vermont | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f0…9edebacked Bryant | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…05f4backed Vermont | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa873…71e3backed Bryant | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c7…ac65backed Bryant | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.