Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Kentucky vs. Milwaukee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e68b67d0d54dea03abebfa82136dbf27651aa93624caa23f59d0031fc735190
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukeeof Northern Kentucky, Milwaukee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Northern Kentucky | 32c | 1,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Milwaukee | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…8d70backed Northern Kentucky | 32c | 114$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cde…aab2backed Milwaukee | 68c | 82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Northern Kentucky | 28c | 56.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…beafbacked Milwaukee | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0246…e33dbacked Northern Kentucky | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf521…bd90backed Northern Kentucky | 30c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58fb…f8c2backed Northern Kentucky | 30c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Milwaukee | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Northern Kentucky | 30c | 42.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Milwaukee | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…6325backed Milwaukee | 68c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Milwaukee | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf600…3fe4backed Milwaukee | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…9d6bbacked Milwaukee | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3a…8e5abacked Milwaukee | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…5b2cbacked Milwaukee | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…0735backed Milwaukee | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.