South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e921b7e992979284d7ceb68802ef759a7ed01dbe79066d92c99d9fecd805cb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 182$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…28d5backed Over | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 106.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 46c | 106$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 46c | 105$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 47c | 81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Over | 54c | 67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 45c | 53.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Over | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Over | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.