Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Robert Morris Colonials vs. Milwaukee Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f1910c1fb749b0d20dae38272d9e25fc730199ad7e045408cd588ab36bbde69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Panthersof Robert Morris Colonials, Milwaukee Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Robert Morris Colonials | 58c | 17,200$9,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,910 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Milwaukee Panthers | 47c | 14,116$6,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,512.8 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 26c | 2,191$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 20c | 900$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Panthers | 55c | 193$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Milwaukee Panthers | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Milwaukee Panthers | 66c | 59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Robert Morris Colonials | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Milwaukee Panthers | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Robert Morris Colonials | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.