Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FK Borac Banja Luka (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f5ab31e5eba4f41bf08146102836d025980397e75bf59180c04b8db253d189b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK ML Viciebskof FK Borac Banja Luka, FK ML Viciebsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FK Borac Banja Luka | 28c | 1,963$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.22 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FK ML Viciebsk | 71c | 983$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.89 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed FK ML Viciebsk | 72c | 507.39$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.07 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked FK ML Viciebsk | 73c | 423.17$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FK Borac Banja Luka | 27c | 274.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FK ML Viciebsk | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed FK ML Viciebsk | 73c | 111.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FK ML Viciebsk | 73c | 63.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed FK ML Viciebsk | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed FK Borac Banja Luka | 29c | 53.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed FK Borac Banja Luka | 53c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FK ML Viciebsk | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked FK Borac Banja Luka | 52c | 34.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FK ML Viciebsk | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69df…fe16backed FK ML Viciebsk | 79c | 25.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed FK ML Viciebsk | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FK Borac Banja Luka (-1.5)this page
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. FK ML Viciebsk: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. FK ML Viciebsk: FK ML Viciebsk O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Borac Banja Luka vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.