Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gentofte: Marie Vogt vs Rebecca Munk Mortensen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f6fb891423411389271b7bd17a9ee77fe3e39f13e1c7e89375001d3f12fbcdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rebecca Munk Mortensenof Marie Vogt, Rebecca Munk Mortensen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Marie Vogt | 22c | 6,739$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.29 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 74c | 6,169$4,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.24 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Marie Vogt | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 57c | 614.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.3 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 69c | 300.88$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.57 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marie Vogt | 54c | 278.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2b…0900backed Marie Vogt | 33c | 264.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 58c | 193.1$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 70c | 146$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 73c | 136.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 77c | 129.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 73c | 125$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Marie Vogt | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 77c | 100.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Marie Vogt | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Marie Vogt | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Marie Vogt | 52c | 82.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Marie Vogt | 42c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 53c | 56.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Marie Vogt | 44c | 32.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Marie Vogt | 75c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3113backed Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 70c | 28.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…30f1backed Marie Vogt | 78c | 28.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 50c | 27.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Marie Vogt | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 71c | 20.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Marie Vogt | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Marie Vogt | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 73c | 17.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ae…2890backed Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Marie Vogt | 73c | 14.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.