South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-03-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f9e289175bedea2c1c929ee16b324df6e4facdd5ffcf792697015e7a1b7fe0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,204 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 27c | 1,215$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.13 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 79c | 716.04$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.42 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed No | 14c | 560$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…072abacked No | 40c | 414$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 18c | 369.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…d1aebacked No | 40c | 360$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1068…724fbacked No | 40c | 354$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4700…97dfbacked Yes | 60c | 305$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…0e59backed No | 40c | 301$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 39c | 276.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.69 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5596…4826backed Yes | 60c | 268$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…be2abacked Yes | 60c | 260$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 60c | 221.47$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7155…4dd0backed Yes | 60c | 216$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 63c | 207$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a02…d980backed Yes | 60c | 190$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…af27backed Yes | 60c | 190$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 38c | 182.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 61c | 162.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 36c | 160.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Yes | 59c | 159.09$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc88c…14f1backed Yes | 63c | 156.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked No | 16c | 153.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 41c | 146.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 61c | 133.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed No | 32c | 71.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 61c | 70.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 16c | 64.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 40c | 61.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 60c | 58.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 64c | 55.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 55c | 48.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 39c | 30.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…a575backed Yes | 61c | 29.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 62c | 23.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 60c | 17.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Tolima win on 2026-03-11?this page
- Will CD Tolima vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?No won
- Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-03-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.