Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier B: Mexico vs Suriname
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fecd13b39ad8adbc83d232c8ca576f967bf0e1d62680270df57a32041e6bb60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mexicoof Mexico, Suriname
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,522 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Suriname | 39c | 1,172$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.69 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Mexico | 65c | 1,107$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.21 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Suriname | 40c | 590.55$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Suriname | 31c | 557.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.37 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…f62fbacked Mexico | 60c | 417.7$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked Mexico | 59c | 385$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suriname | 39c | 355.08$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.65 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Suriname | 39c | 316.71$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.26 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Suriname | 44c | 315.91$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Suriname | 5c | 259.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Suriname | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mexico | 48c | 186.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Mexico | 60c | 176.61$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mexico | 64c | 170.58$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Mexico | 61c | 159.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Mexico | 59c | 152$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Mexico | 60c | 136$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Mexico | 66c | 124.54$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Suriname | 49c | 123.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Suriname | 42c | 111$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Suriname | 31c | 79.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fa…bec1backed Mexico | 59c | 65.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…8a9bbacked Mexico | 58c | 61.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Suriname | 27c | 60.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 676 | 31.4%212 W · 464 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Suriname | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Mexico | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b6…2262backed Mexico | 61c | 59.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Mexico | 59c | 59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Mexico | 59c | 55.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Mexico | 59c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Suriname | 35c | 50.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 183 | 19.7%36 W · 147 L | -24.5wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed Mexico | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Mexico | 59c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Suriname | 42c | 34.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Mexico | 60c | 33.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Suriname | 37c | 32.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…9410backed Suriname | 57c | 31.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Mexico | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Suriname | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mexico | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Mexico | 60c | 23.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Mexico | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Mexico | 58c | 18.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Mexico | 64c | 18.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.