Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Hampshire vs. Bryant
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2065b8c6eaa83e9b30c7bfc4679740b758ac8cd6311fa167745274d0df82265d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bryantof New Hampshire, Bryant
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4b2…fbefbacked New Hampshire | 23c | 463$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bryant | 73c | 393$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…067cbacked New Hampshire | 21c | 209$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…8806backed Bryant | 77c | 202$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed New Hampshire | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…c124backed New Hampshire | 23c | 191$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3b02backed New Hampshire | 13c | 168$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa183…5304backed Bryant | 77c | 162$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186f…d233backed New Hampshire | 7c | 151$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…7a65backed Bryant | 77c | 148$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bf…bbfcbacked Bryant | 77c | 142$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bryant | 70c | 132$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x422f…3ffbbacked New Hampshire | 14c | 115$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa860…0377backed New Hampshire | 23c | 106$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…5246backed New Hampshire | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +82%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2203…1c36backed New Hampshire | 17c | 89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d0…895cbacked Bryant | 77c | 79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0895…1ef9backed New Hampshire | 24c | 76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…a212backed New Hampshire | 19c | 76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…b5d4backed Bryant | 79c | 74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb4…43b0backed New Hampshire | 24c | 63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56c…41e1backed New Hampshire | 18c | 62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fad…05e4backed Bryant | 77c | 57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…d094backed Bryant | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e2…acffbacked Bryant | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4077…af36backed New Hampshire | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…ee69backed Bryant | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…a831backed Bryant | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…5c80backed Bryant | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…d7c0backed Bryant | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…050ebacked Bryant | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227b…93c0backed Bryant | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcba…8a9fbacked Bryant | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2d…c507backed Bryant | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1072…30a9backed Bryant | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2163…ca22backed Bryant | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…070cbacked Bryant | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…b4d4backed Bryant | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.