TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

St. Francis (PA) vs. Le-Moyne

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
St. Francis (PA)of St. Francis (PA), Le-Moyne
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,610

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe318…19f0backed Le-Moyne50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd42…7a65backed St. Francis (PA)50c132$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2283…5fa5backed St. Francis (PA)50c129$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked St. Francis (PA)40c111$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.634842.8%149 W · 199 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Le-Moyne60c109.33$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.610429.8%31 W · 73 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cc2…3062backed Le-Moyne50c98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bfa…22adbacked St. Francis (PA)50c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+187.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72fd…0c29backed Le-Moyne50c58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd26a…07e5backed St. Francis (PA)50c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2485…b08bbacked Le-Moyne50c43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf45e…725bbacked St. Francis (PA)50c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.54100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+169%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8010…c1ddbacked Le-Moyne50c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f1…8716backed St. Francis (PA)50c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabd8…c291backed St. Francis (PA)50c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b03…8610backed St. Francis (PA)50c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeec4…8adcbacked Le-Moyne50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbabe…7028backed Le-Moyne50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50f6…892dbacked Le-Moyne50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d85…948dbacked St. Francis (PA)50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7324…be03backed St. Francis (PA)50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x798f…ab79backed Le-Moyne50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17a1…4d42backed Le-Moyne50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e6…b248backed Le-Moyne50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ef…de92backed St. Francis (PA)50c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+48.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6760…8b38backed Le-Moyne50c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa67…3c06backed St. Francis (PA)50c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x952c…eb4dbacked St. Francis (PA)50c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f1b…0bfdbacked Le-Moyne50c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b65…8eaabacked Le-Moyne50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb91…1f2dbacked St. Francis (PA)51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ba9…2c00backed Le-Moyne50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x092d…0d7cbacked Le-Moyne50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8592…9ef1backed St. Francis (PA)50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d0…ad9fbacked Le-Moyne50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22f2…e1b1backed St. Francis (PA)50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35a8…2256backed St. Francis (PA)50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fea…904cbacked St. Francis (PA)50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…b050backed St. Francis (PA)50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec1f…a262backed Le-Moyne50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d39…de4cbacked Le-Moyne50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x523b…465cbacked St. Francis (PA)50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd65e…55a7backed Le-Moyne50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e25…392fbacked St. Francis (PA)50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadab…ea11backed St. Francis (PA)50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10c…c615backed St. Francis (PA)50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2089…c1f6backed Le-Moyne49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc05a…4887backed Le-Moyne50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8480…8a89backed Le-Moyne49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x165b…98dbbacked Le-Moyne50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e30…bd0ebacked Le-Moyne49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe413…6f55backed Le-Moyne49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2818…a5adbacked St. Francis (PA)50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fcb…0fd8backed Le-Moyne50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf880…75ddbacked Le-Moyne50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e0…6640backed Le-Moyne49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa46f…0483backed Le-Moyne50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd39…ed73backed St. Francis (PA)50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d8a…a3fbbacked St. Francis (PA)51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b3…89c7backed St. Francis (PA)50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65df…8363backed St. Francis (PA)50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c1…a23abacked St. Francis (PA)51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61eb…8adabacked Le-Moyne49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe114…afefbacked Le-Moyne50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4001…03b2backed St. Francis (PA)49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92de…ac26backed St. Francis (PA)51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x516d…73c0backed St. Francis (PA)51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…2ca8backed St. Francis (PA)51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2dd…4eccbacked Le-Moyne50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6c…1ffcbacked St. Francis (PA)51c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e78…9853backed Le-Moyne51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb321…f0f1backed St. Francis (PA)50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x556c…e188backed Le-Moyne50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8abd…d98dbacked Le-Moyne50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b7…9ec9backed St. Francis (PA)50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4dbabacked St. Francis (PA)50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0e…a0f1backed St. Francis (PA)50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ab…c088backed Le-Moyne50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.