CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20d44da37c2ef1905a700598a4b2f17a8b591eaf41666336911029b7fe9e1d2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QUAZARof QUAZAR, RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,789 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed RUSTEC | 45c | 2,892$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.34 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked QUAZAR | 55c | 1,891$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.78 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed RUSTEC | 24c | 976.44$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.13 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked QUAZAR | 76c | 391.03$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…ec20backed QUAZAR | 59c | 208.81$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.98 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed QUAZAR | 46c | 207.66$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.35 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked RUSTEC | 7c | 202.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed RUSTEC | 34c | 163.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…dd89backed RUSTEC | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked QUAZAR | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked RUSTEC | 31c | 67.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed RUSTEC | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked RUSTEC | 41c | 36.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…dd32backed QUAZAR | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed QUAZAR | 65c | 23.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa394…e29fbacked QUAZAR | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed QUAZAR | 80c | 13.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs RUSTEC - Map 2 WinnerRUSTEC won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.