South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2100749655209864ec149af86ce61bdd49a9e67326b3156d23d6aa54faabb9c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5693…4816backed Yes | 0c | 10,995$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 495.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…3de6backed Yes | 25c | 452.72$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 74c | 421.41$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.57 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 389.41$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 73c | 322.04$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 21c | 299.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 270.79$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 270.01$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 20c | 249.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 19c | 188.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 142.91$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 16c | 103.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 26c | 102.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 24c | 91.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 29c | 69.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 63.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 80c | 43.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 80c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Yes | 28c | 37.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed No | 74c | 20.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f47…742ebacked No | 74c | 19.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 79c | 13.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-04-19?Yes won
- Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.