Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Punjab Kings - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21673fba7cbbadca90ee7cbd6465b18e19d7ffd1cb0e5ca6dd734ea0ddb0d3d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kolkata Knight Ridersof Kolkata Knight Riders, Punjab Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfb…f448backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 55c | 1,769$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Punjab Kings | 47c | 944.08$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.72 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16eb…d2bfbacked Punjab Kings | 47c | 594.67$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Punjab Kings | 49c | 462.17$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.46 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadae…92cabacked Punjab Kings | 46c | 340.6$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…066dbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 244.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.16 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9a…b45bbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 52c | 173.78$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.87 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe1…6d4fbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 127.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21cf…f935backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 78c | 126.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Punjab Kings | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Punjab Kings | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…94fbbacked Punjab Kings | 52c | 93.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ab…f0a5backed Punjab Kings | 46c | 80.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56d9…d7eabacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 52c | 76.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ae…2f20backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 50c | 74.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…5a95backed Punjab Kings | 50c | 58.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cc…be60backed Punjab Kings | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67ab…283fbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f52…b510backed Punjab Kings | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75a…8ef3backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 59c | 36.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…1e3bbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 29.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0494…0cb3backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…0c6cbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6a…8c81backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Punjab Kings - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Punjab Kings - Completed match?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.