MLB · resolved market
Will Eastleigh FC win on 2026-04-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21a19d413dac26d61a13f51b5dd7d8aabd0076ee4ca50a90fd839e4597f2f52b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 48c | 584.89$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.96 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 37c | 518.25$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.46 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 51c | 301.02$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.62 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 249.6$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.31 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 61c | 219.28$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.76 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 54c | 213.23$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.07 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 50c | 163.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 58c | 150.61$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed No | 46c | 145.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 136.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 40c | 126.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No | 50c | 97.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Yes | 43c | 69.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Yes | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 58c | 62.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 78c | 50.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 78c | 50.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 70c | 47.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 58c | 33.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 58c | 30.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 58c | 29.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 25.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4799…cf78backed Yes | 79c | 18.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +296.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.