Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21c07ac87a26a800b8b05ba58c3f0e55b76f1c917b25a4b6409f29eb26770292
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebf1…1d5dbacked Yes | 80c | 5,418$4,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 5,286$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.35 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 41c | 3,051$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.7 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 26c | 1,507$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.76 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 1,413$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.64 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 19c | 776.52$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.18 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Yes | 38c | 405.84$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.62 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +81%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 35c | 357.14$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.14 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1770…9483backed No | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d30…3391backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 59c | 264.12$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.02 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…85dabacked Yes | 43c | 232.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 74c | 195$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked No | 33c | 153.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 34c | 151.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 40c | 101.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 38c | 89.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 57c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -15.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 29c | 41.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed No | 60c | 38.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 58c | 38.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd2…b69abacked Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb733…c537backed Yes | 36c | 37.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +4.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +81%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 38c | 29.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x715f…c6abbacked Yes | 39c | 25.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…4e98backed Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-11-08?No won
- Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.