Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Telstar 1963 (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21c41c85f0e2cbdb7dce2e6e7706919327cfafe980d6d9c87068be8982210f3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Telstar 1963of Telstar 1963, Sparta Rotterdam
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x357e…6f41backed Sparta Rotterdam | 47c | 195.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…6ebfbacked Sparta Rotterdam | 47c | 190.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…a6cdbacked Sparta Rotterdam | 47c | 189.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…a880backed Sparta Rotterdam | 47c | 188.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4448…90dabacked Sparta Rotterdam | 47c | 185.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c8…d9a1backed Sparta Rotterdam | 47c | 184.91$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e28…7e91backed Sparta Rotterdam | 47c | 183.81$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fa…825bbacked Sparta Rotterdam | 47c | 183.64$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…bae4backed Sparta Rotterdam | 47c | 181.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c3…4666backed Sparta Rotterdam | 47c | 181.69$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…687abacked Sparta Rotterdam | 47c | 181.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060b…23d7backed Sparta Rotterdam | 47c | 177.54$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…0a58backed Sparta Rotterdam | 47c | 176.73$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…f349backed Sparta Rotterdam | 47c | 176.71$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…2546backed Sparta Rotterdam | 47c | 172.48$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Telstar 1963 | 7c | 160.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.08 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Sparta Rotterdam | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Telstar 1963 (-2.5)this page
- Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Over won
- Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Over won
- Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.