NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21ca62c569af96a09caacfba32067cbc30129419b37713b6ce3426c92b166605
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Penguins, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Penguins | 35c | 1,001$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.38 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rangers | 66c | 1,000$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.06 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Penguins | 35c | 870.07$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.53 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Penguins | 36c | 850.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.36 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rangers | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Penguins | 34c | 387.28$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.11 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…2e65backed Rangers | 64c | 267.06$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.52 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 65c | 257.6$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Penguins | 8c | 211.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Rangers | 59c | 174.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Rangers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Rangers | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…c115backed Rangers | 65c | 133.38$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716b…e2d6backed Penguins | 38c | 133.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8661…5136backed Rangers | 65c | 113.85$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Penguins | 35c | 109.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Rangers | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Penguins | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…cb4dbacked Rangers | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Penguins | 38c | 99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…7359backed Rangers | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…21f8backed Rangers | 62c | 78.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Rangers | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Penguins | 35c | 69.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Rangers | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…86c6backed Penguins | 35c | 57.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Rangers | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Rangers | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Penguins | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…b468backed Rangers | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Penguins | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce4…7addbacked Rangers | 66c | 45.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Penguins | 39c | 38.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bf…14cfbacked Rangers | 64c | 29.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Rangers | 64c | 25.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…398bbacked Rangers | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Rangers | 62c | 20.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc5…817ebacked Rangers | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…947fbacked Rangers | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…866dbacked Rangers | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57be…2750backed Rangers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.