Mls · resolved market
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21f50bcba220de652469b0495f51f138fb046ff59c7e71960573d5d8b9293dc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vancouver Whitecaps FCof Vancouver Whitecaps FC, Minnesota United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,017 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd9c…2a50backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 44c | 1,127$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.97 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Minnesota United FC | 59c | 700$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Minnesota United FC | 56c | 478.48$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.12 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59a…950cbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 42c | 362$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Minnesota United FC | 55c | 341.08$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.59 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4750…e7d6backed Minnesota United FC | 58c | 331$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…c6cfbacked Minnesota United FC | 58c | 325$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa0…3902backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 42c | 325$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Minnesota United FC | 56c | 322.31$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.49 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…61a9backed Minnesota United FC | 58c | 308$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2b…6b4dbacked Minnesota United FC | 58c | 286$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fed…cfa3backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 42c | 284$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac6…2c6fbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 42c | 280$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2596…3ba8backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 42c | 269$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x803c…6efbbacked Minnesota United FC | 58c | 260$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x841c…2481backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 42c | 253$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf2…13cabacked Minnesota United FC | 58c | 253$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…80e3backed Minnesota United FC | 58c | 251$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…7be9backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 42c | 215$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6755…2af0backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 42c | 207$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Minnesota United FC | 56c | 186.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f5…bf7fbacked Minnesota United FC | 58c | 181$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 41c | 125$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 41c | 115$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Minnesota United FC | 56c | 113.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 46c | 75.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 41c | 47.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Minnesota United FC | 55c | 37.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 44c | 34.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Minnesota United FC | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota United FC | 56c | 23.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Minnesota United FC | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Minnesota United FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Minnesota United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.