Lol · resolved market
LoL: Galions vs Geekay (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22015ab127b2434284b47f309902d22dc045ad8cee075b37ce4e6ebcaccc1a96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Geekayof Galions, Geekay
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Galions | 62c | 3,574$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.32 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Geekay | 37c | 3,522$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.52 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Galions | 59c | 2,379$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.03 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Galions | 64c | 2,190$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.49 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Geekay | 41c | 1,221$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.43 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Geekay | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Geekay | 37c | 948$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.07 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Geekay | 38c | 700$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Geekay | 59c | 283.95$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Geekay | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Galions | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Geekay | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Geekay | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6127…27debacked Galions | 29c | 160.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Geekay | 59c | 120.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed Galions | 19c | 66.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Geekay | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Galions | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.