CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Procyon Gaming (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2271548f1b8d1ac3bbebd0c3a14b9695f52b6d8469fef7785daa29eaedf86a41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, Procyon Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Procyon Gaming | 12c | 1,935$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.52 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Procyon Gaming | 44c | 1,635$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.58 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…37a7backed Procyon Gaming | 72c | 947.74$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Procyon Gaming | 8c | 562.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BESTIA | 70c | 233.56$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Procyon Gaming | 30c | 167.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed BESTIA | 40c | 155$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.44 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BESTIA | 50c | 149.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Procyon Gaming | 50c | 87.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed Procyon Gaming | 31c | 63.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked BESTIA | 40c | 52.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Procyon Gaming | 49c | 36.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…487dbacked Procyon Gaming | 60c | 35.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed Procyon Gaming | 65c | 32.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…8985backed Procyon Gaming | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5240…dde0backed BESTIA | 76c | 15.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.