Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: OZO (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22abf2c95b5501f4aa25c98e04b39f3f72b7481e5f04d7fc3a25ac660ba9bcc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ozarox Esportsof Ozarox Esports, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 1,120$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.8 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Ozarox Esports | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 102 | 31.4%32 W · 70 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 498.56$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.28 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Ozarox Esports | 51c | 462.75$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.75 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Ozarox Esports | 50c | 399.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.61 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Ozarox Esports | 42c | 340$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 331.43$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.23 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Ozarox Esports | 51c | 256.86$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.86 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Ozarox Esports | 51c | 203.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f7…71d2backed Ozarox Esports | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 181.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb449…5e07backed Ozarox Esports | 52c | 169.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Ozarox Esports | 51c | 148.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed Ozarox Esports | 50c | 140.78$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked Ozarox Esports | 50c | 99.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Ozarox Esports | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Ozarox Esports | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Ozarox Esports | 51c | 48.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Ozarox Esports | 53c | 35.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb14d…8f95backed Ozarox Esports | 51c | 24.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Ozarox Esports | 72c | 17.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: OZO (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)this page
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Ozarox Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonOzarox Esports won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Ozarox Esports - Game 1 WinnerOzarox Esports won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Ozarox Esports - Game 2 WinnerOzarox Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.