Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Louis vs. Davidson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23266b51d8859ed235d2f2b508b8a684f0641c8e9a89a7234245b6941f71aae0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louisof St. Louis, Davidson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd769…0f06backed Davidson | 53c | 529$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.37 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b5…a64dbacked St. Louis | 47c | 305$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…dffdbacked Davidson | 50c | 284$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea18…63e9backed St. Louis | 50c | 181$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…d6dabacked St. Louis | 47c | 112$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…4915backed St. Louis | 47c | 111$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…8547backed Davidson | 52c | 104$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4100…8ec3backed St. Louis | 50c | 91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd318…405dbacked Davidson | 55c | 76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…9e42backed St. Louis | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…57a8backed Davidson | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…958ebacked St. Louis | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…839dbacked St. Louis | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b2…c2b7backed St. Louis | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f9b8backed St. Louis | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…7b60backed St. Louis | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Davidson | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4f…3c60backed St. Louis | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +167.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc8…00f1backed St. Louis | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeea…8921backed Davidson | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d77…7c1ebacked Davidson | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a4…f5c7backed Davidson | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.