Euroleague · resolved market
CB Breogan Lugo vs. Joventut
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x235b0ceae3faa329d1011ee845f4f6cd5d662a08907a4c2eccbd65edee1f0294
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CB Breogan Lugoof CB Breogan Lugo, Joventut
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Joventut | 4c | 1,018$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Joventut | 16c | 469.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Joventut | 61c | 442.51$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 48c | 316.92$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked CB Breogan Lugo | 39c | 299.63$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.77 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Joventut | 57c | 290.63$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.05 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…d690backed CB Breogan Lugo | 47c | 251.48$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Joventut | 53c | 215.25$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed CB Breogan Lugo | 43c | 208.35$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.77 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed CB Breogan Lugo | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 58c | 153.06$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Joventut | 58c | 109.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Joventut | 58c | 101.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked CB Breogan Lugo | 42c | 90.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +245.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…95dcbacked Joventut | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Joventut | 53c | 81.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…316cbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 46c | 78.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Joventut | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CB Breogan Lugo | 50c | 49.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Joventut | 57c | 48.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed CB Breogan Lugo | 41c | 41.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed CB Breogan Lugo | 53c | 40.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Joventut | 59c | 30.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.