Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Twente '65 vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23a5dda07530e4f0a0be9c98815e5d575e0007448fa877f812923131c76cca81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed Over | 41c | 860.77$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.81 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 541$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.77 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…9210backed Over | 43c | 348$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 57c | 310.63$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.13 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…63fcbacked Under | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…488bbacked Under | 57c | 119$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…deccbacked Under | 57c | 109$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 58c | 106.36$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 39c | 63.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 59c | 55.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 43c | 46.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…23dcbacked Over | 42c | 42.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked Under | 57c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Twente '65 vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Twente '65 vs. Telstar 1963: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)Telstar 1963 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.