Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Quinnipiac vs. Sacred Heart
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2465d4f9220786e6f6829f4d73bea1665d4ddab9a0b5e33f2b46db28f579d270
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Quinnipiacof Quinnipiac, Sacred Heart
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Sacred Heart | 49c | 1,444$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.53 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Quinnipiac | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Quinnipiac | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sacred Heart | 38c | 600$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Sacred Heart | 39c | 597.5$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Quinnipiac | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sacred Heart | 36c | 299.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…423cbacked Sacred Heart | 56c | 186$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Quinnipiac | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Quinnipiac | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0503…8b4ebacked Quinnipiac | 65c | 148.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sacred Heart | 39c | 144.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Quinnipiac | 62c | 144.33$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…1aeabacked Quinnipiac | 44c | 137$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Quinnipiac | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…9345backed Quinnipiac | 44c | 93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…a5b1backed Quinnipiac | 65c | 86.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…12d1backed Quinnipiac | 65c | 84.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cc…b944backed Quinnipiac | 65c | 80.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Sacred Heart | 40c | 74.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sacred Heart | 39c | 69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5640…833cbacked Sacred Heart | 41c | 61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…332abacked Sacred Heart | 54c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sacred Heart | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd5…72e8backed Quinnipiac | 59c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Quinnipiac | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80c…04f9backed Quinnipiac | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d3…0de3backed Sacred Heart | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb486…ad05backed Sacred Heart | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911e…93a1backed Quinnipiac | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9290…c4fabacked Sacred Heart | 58c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3836…3dd2backed Quinnipiac | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.