South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Olimpia vs. CA Barracas Central: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24a934449c8f5d5bc2f53b5e079017600906b44d3ad4c4c2ff1c689c17b61545
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.96 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 70c | 1,511$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.84 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes | 40c | 715.6$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 667.39$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 550.54$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.09 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 293.65$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.82 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 71c | 249.14$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…02d6backed Yes | 22c | 206.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 202.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 74c | 144.85$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 59c | 96.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 77c | 83.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 77c | 83.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 78c | 82.8$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 78c | 82.8$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 79c | 81.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 39c | 74.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 71c | 60.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 57c | 23.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Olimpia vs. CA Barracas Central: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Club Olimpia vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Olimpia vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Olimpia vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Olimpia vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)Club Olimpia won
- Spread: Club Olimpia (-1.5)CA Barracas Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.