Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Hampton vs. Drexel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24ab9ef0b66a4d490d74308ef55d60b3ec500e5c3861dcd5ea22009d6d60b7d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Drexelof Hampton, Drexel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1bc…4fd7backed Hampton | 50c | 215$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f9…a1debacked Drexel | 50c | 215$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…fabebacked Hampton | 36c | 195$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8a…e09abacked Drexel | 50c | 165$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6448…921ebacked Drexel | 64c | 149$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hampton | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Drexel | 63c | 132.06$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…f051backed Drexel | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1423…619ebacked Drexel | 64c | 104$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…35d1backed Hampton | 36c | 95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…c2b7backed Hampton | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…0a7fbacked Hampton | 36c | 85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5196…1b73backed Drexel | 64c | 71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ab…8df2backed Hampton | 36c | 64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd81…10f4backed Hampton | 36c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ed…e0d5backed Hampton | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…0a15backed Hampton | 36c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…9238backed Hampton | 39c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…3f37backed Hampton | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…d415backed Hampton | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…cf13backed Hampton | 36c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c6…9e70backed Hampton | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x809b…a59dbacked Hampton | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fd…b58cbacked Drexel | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fc…8924backed Drexel | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc80b…b08ebacked Drexel | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…a46cbacked Hampton | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d38cbacked Hampton | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…7f95backed Drexel | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bf…dd92backed Drexel | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…159bbacked Drexel | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd21f…d0b6backed Drexel | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x667e…c0fbbacked Drexel | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a6…1dcdbacked Drexel | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77f…d928backed Drexel | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c0…81fcbacked Drexel | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…8923backed Drexel | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…eb1fbacked Drexel | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.