CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Turma do Pagode - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24b8726d74871a890a93615d32827583fa18b800ca490069f0670fd7602cac75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Turma do Pagodeof Yawara Esports, Turma do Pagode
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Turma do Pagode | 62c | 811.41$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yawara Esports | 38c | 469.62$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.45 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Turma do Pagode | 60c | 436.83$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.08 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yawara Esports | 39c | 279.36$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.37 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Yawara Esports | 42c | 245.47$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Turma do Pagode | 51c | 194$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Turma do Pagode | 75c | 171.19$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Yawara Esports | 11c | 133.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Yawara Esports | 40c | 125.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Yawara Esports | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yawara Esports | 35c | 121.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Yawara Esports | 40c | 101.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…c249backed Yawara Esports | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Turma do Pagode | 68c | 91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yawara Esports | 23c | 80.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Yawara Esports | 43c | 51.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yawara Esports | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Turma do Pagode | 45c | 32.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Turma do Pagode | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yawara Esports | 39c | 32.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Turma do Pagode | 49c | 27.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed Yawara Esports | 48c | 25.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Turma do Pagode - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil PlayoffsYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Turma do Pagode - Map 1 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TdP (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)Yawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.