Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
West Virginia vs. Baylor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24fe0901307f2bef35a04d0de750a8323389a02953aac742f4c510d11c2b1240
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baylorof West Virginia, Baylor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Baylor | 59c | 690$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.9 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Baylor | 77c | 247.83$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed West Virginia | 23c | 247.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed West Virginia | 35c | 156.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked West Virginia | 22c | 71.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…7da4backed West Virginia | 17c | 61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2221…d541backed Baylor | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…3387backed Baylor | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…addbbacked West Virginia | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef9…4cd1backed West Virginia | 23c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01cb…c66bbacked Baylor | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4253…e2acbacked West Virginia | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c24…cf59backed Baylor | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11c…10e1backed West Virginia | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…8aa1backed West Virginia | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…1c2cbacked Baylor | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…9e13backed West Virginia | 30c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…5524backed West Virginia | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6d…013ebacked Baylor | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b3…4cedbacked West Virginia | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776d…11f3backed West Virginia | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67dd…d38ebacked West Virginia | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f63…e682backed Baylor | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e0…bdfebacked Baylor | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06a…be87backed Baylor | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f8…b413backed Baylor | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…9c7dbacked Baylor | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd505…d24bbacked Baylor | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40d…8b6abacked Baylor | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…3cf8backed Baylor | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…ee9ebacked Baylor | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…acbcbacked Baylor | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…e82fbacked Baylor | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…4709backed Baylor | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.