Other European Leagues · resolved market
Beşiktaş JK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2577fdae21649adca65b16f11d539e0c15ca0cc72311cc152e9910b2baa3d2c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Under | 42c | 1,425$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.45 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 734.4$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.77 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Under | 8c | 651.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 59c | 154.63$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 58c | 100.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 58c | 56.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…2fa7backed Over | 60c | 50.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Over | 61c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 58c | 44.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…7b9dbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Over | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…5320backed Under | 41c | 29.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc5…a314backed Over | 61c | 25.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 58c | 24.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…5486backed Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595a…e33fbacked Over | 61c | 18.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5this page
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Alanyaspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 3.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.