Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: AZ (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25c39a656745b505729de8e4191e86fc398323f04fc944076e257a842391e499
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Go Ahead Eaglesof AZ, Go Ahead Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked AZ | 50c | 2,198$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.03 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Go Ahead Eagles | 58c | 1,263$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.03 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AZ | 21c | 402.66$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.03 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Go Ahead Eagles | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Go Ahead Eagles | 49c | 112.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…3914backed AZ | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed AZ | 21c | 86.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Go Ahead Eagles | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Go Ahead Eagles | 49c | 49.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Go Ahead Eagles | 50c | 37.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed AZ | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Go Ahead Eagles | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Go Ahead Eagles | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Go Ahead Eagles | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AZ (-1.5)this page
- AZ vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AZ vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5Over won
- AZ vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5Over won
- AZ vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.