Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Norfolk State vs. North Carolina Central
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26243f6766a272ba5e5b09aa1412f88a604c08222426c458a868077f288528a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina Centralof Norfolk State, North Carolina Central
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc67…18c5backed North Carolina Central | 31c | 238$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfd…d97fbacked Norfolk State | 69c | 208$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…9162backed North Carolina Central | 31c | 187$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…4c20backed North Carolina Central | 50c | 132$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Norfolk State | 41c | 95.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…3673backed North Carolina Central | 31c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe865…baaebacked Norfolk State | 50c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce21…7738backed North Carolina Central | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8fddbacked Norfolk State | 50c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x932a…8d36backed North Carolina Central | 35c | 58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf829…7cd9backed North Carolina Central | 31c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…11c8backed Norfolk State | 69c | 54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf70…839abacked North Carolina Central | 31c | 53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…92debacked Norfolk State | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1a…a256backed North Carolina Central | 31c | 49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da0…b85abacked Norfolk State | 69c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd260…51c0backed Norfolk State | 69c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20fe…79bbbacked Norfolk State | 65c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe805…6750backed North Carolina Central | 35c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438b…1725backed North Carolina Central | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…16c3backed North Carolina Central | 31c | 39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf85c…9ddcbacked Norfolk State | 69c | 38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x846e…cc0fbacked Norfolk State | 69c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7d…7a5cbacked Norfolk State | 69c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…a452backed Norfolk State | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4d…f8d7backed North Carolina Central | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9067…e242backed Norfolk State | 65c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…a508backed Norfolk State | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbec…189abacked Norfolk State | 69c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…fa99backed North Carolina Central | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5971…eba4backed Norfolk State | 69c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bec…b6bbbacked Norfolk State | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151d…8df0backed Norfolk State | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a4…35aabacked North Carolina Central | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…437abacked Norfolk State | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…2d8dbacked North Carolina Central | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…7915backed North Carolina Central | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1592…018fbacked Norfolk State | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88cc…567abacked Norfolk State | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…cafdbacked Norfolk State | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…e3e9backed Norfolk State | 69c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…603bbacked Norfolk State | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95c…ff4ebacked North Carolina Central | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Norfolk State | 68c | 24.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c8…d792backed North Carolina Central | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1122…5b2bbacked North Carolina Central | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2151…7f4dbacked North Carolina Central | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4a6abacked Norfolk State | 69c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…3fcabacked Norfolk State | 65c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b5…1713backed North Carolina Central | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a6…9cb9backed Norfolk State | 69c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x166d…bb3ebacked Norfolk State | 69c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…e256backed Norfolk State | 69c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…6e16backed Norfolk State | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…8457backed North Carolina Central | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.