South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Blooming win on 2026-04-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2697a9726431e17686c96164f752c463a426305bedcbc33bedbc954810c00dda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x76ae…b6e6backed Yes | 13c | 1,528$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589d…b958backed Yes | 38c | 432.37$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked No | 63c | 289.85$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 267.45$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 11c | 257.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 62c | 240.26$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 10c | 214.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 206.14$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 64c | 195.68$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 29c | 176.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 28c | 156.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 150.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed No | 63c | 127.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Yes | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes | 17c | 111.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 13c | 94.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 23c | 82.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 68.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed No | 74c | 66.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 27c | 52.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 21c | 52.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…3714backed Yes | 22c | 51.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 38c | 45.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed No | 67c | 36.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 71c | 29.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 63c | 19.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 63c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 63c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 63c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 63c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 63c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 63c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 63c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 63c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 63c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 63c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 63c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 63c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 63c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 63c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 63c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Blooming win on 2026-04-08?this page
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-08?No won
- Will Club Blooming vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.