NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2723469324e2b5cf112414bb7eda119bde56d5a42b55d0bac7b8688eb8520324
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 44c | 5,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Under | 56c | 4,773$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,672.63 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Under | 56c | 2,688$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.98 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…a89cbacked Under | 57c | 1,953$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 1,833$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.98 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 1,520$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.55 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 1,074$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.53 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 55c | 1,035$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.1 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Over | 45c | 1,000$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 53c | 868.67$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.36 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 56c | 757$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.92 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 44c | 750$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa70…0314backed Under | 55c | 718.64$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 47c | 432.77$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.57 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3863…ae6abacked Under | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7de2backed Over | 46c | 238.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 44c | 187$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Under | 55c | 181.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 44c | 115$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 55c | 97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…5d79backed Over | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 55c | 79.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Over | 44c | 71.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 48c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 55c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 47c | 58.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…0f6bbacked Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 46c | 38.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…666cbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Under | 56c | 35.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…bd1fbacked Under | 60c | 21.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 177 | 54.2%96 W · 81 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Under | 57c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5this page
- Flames vs. Blue JacketsBlue Jackets won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.