South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x272368d01f1c2bead1919e0836b257c112d31324ca86c83a00db0ffe0aa12968
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes | 51c | 29,545$14,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,616.26 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 13,780$6,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,820.12 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 5,997$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,878.41 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 4c | 5,517$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.72 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 1,884$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.01 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 1,794$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.93 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 738.63$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.44 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed No | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 50c | 199.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…e0bfbacked No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 23c | 144.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…6b9ebacked No | 22c | 68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 50c | 61.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked No | 52c | 55.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…09dbbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 69c | 49.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 50c | 42.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed No | 51c | 28.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 49c | 26.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed No | 49c | 22.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…5f11backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…66afbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-02-15?No won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Central Córdoba end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.