Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Siena vs. Sacred Heart
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x274080808b576c8f98bacd31fd215e1815ae7fb136c19ec34c5ac4c2bf497a9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sienaof Siena, Sacred Heart
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Sacred Heart | 19c | 1,352$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.02 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Siena | 71c | 690$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc013…d4fbbacked Sacred Heart | 54c | 161$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffa0…f6bfbacked Siena | 46c | 152$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Sacred Heart | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f7…10b7backed Sacred Heart | 54c | 98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…f051backed Siena | 46c | 98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Siena | 43c | 51.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Sacred Heart | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1332…8cd5backed Siena | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f26…b1b1backed Sacred Heart | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sacred Heart | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…c3c8backed Siena | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde12…a72abacked Sacred Heart | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…bce5backed Siena | 63c | 18.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.