Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tennessee Tech vs. SE Missouri State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27418ae5a45c9299155417931499e90272cc76d2114af370847ce0d1cb15b075
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SE Missouri Stateof Tennessee Tech, SE Missouri State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbde4…4cc7backed SE Missouri State | 50c | 157$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c17…e799backed SE Missouri State | 50c | 151$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf62…f354backed Tennessee Tech | 50c | 87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9f…a648backed Tennessee Tech | 28c | 85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x343e…b855backed Tennessee Tech | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…1cf6backed SE Missouri State | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd488…5c6cbacked SE Missouri State | 73c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…8c73backed SE Missouri State | 72c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6a…020ebacked Tennessee Tech | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…59e5backed Tennessee Tech | 28c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3430…8852backed Tennessee Tech | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…13ecbacked Tennessee Tech | 28c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…248cbacked Tennessee Tech | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd177…a10fbacked Tennessee Tech | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb4…c840backed Tennessee Tech | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4e9fbacked Tennessee Tech | 28c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ff…183ebacked Tennessee Tech | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd897…218ebacked SE Missouri State | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb8…0223backed Tennessee Tech | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc829…a1a1backed SE Missouri State | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…564dbacked SE Missouri State | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd933…734fbacked Tennessee Tech | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…5e48backed Tennessee Tech | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf77…7fb9backed SE Missouri State | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a60…2f78backed SE Missouri State | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…425fbacked SE Missouri State | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7904…adaabacked SE Missouri State | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0b…964bbacked SE Missouri State | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…b2fbbacked SE Missouri State | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fd…c939backed SE Missouri State | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb35…a8f9backed Tennessee Tech | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55f…914abacked SE Missouri State | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…3deabacked SE Missouri State | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502e…bbc3backed SE Missouri State | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa767…f03cbacked SE Missouri State | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf062…a6e2backed SE Missouri State | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…a984backed SE Missouri State | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…2434backed SE Missouri State | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.