TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

California Baptist vs. Seattle

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Seattleof California Baptist, Seattle
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$657

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $656 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b18…e297backed California Baptist39c239$93 inLost-$93.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x978a…91b0backed Seattle61c209$127 inWon+$81.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22d9…1972backed Seattle61c157$96 inWon+$61.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde41…be02backed California Baptist39c127$50 inLost-$49.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8271…484dbacked California Baptist33c56$18 inLost-$18.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc436…4836backed California Baptist33c53$17 inLost-$17.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2ee…02b6backed California Baptist33c50$17 inLost-$16.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc139…adb7backed California Baptist33c43$14 inLost-$14.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…fdb8backed California Baptist30c36$11 inLost-$10.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe281…9945backed Seattle67c26$17 inWon+$8.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8da2…e061backed Seattle67c25$17 inWon+$8.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd600…38a4backed Seattle67c24$16 inWon+$7.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc15b…8744backed Seattle67c23$15 inWon+$7.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1565…ccf3backed Seattle67c23$15 inWon+$7.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…3afbbacked Seattle70c21$15 inWon+$6.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+192.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e7…d35fbacked Seattle67c21$14 inWon+$6.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe47…08a1backed Seattle67c21$14 inWon+$6.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec9…366dbacked Seattle67c20$13 inWon+$6.6580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x992e…3b21backed Seattle67c16$11 inWon+$5.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+201.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a7…604dbacked Seattle67c15$10 inWon+$4.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.