TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Austin Peay vs. Queens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Austin Peayof Austin Peay, Queens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,510 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5b4…0d36backed Queens50c89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8444…a967backed Queens50c73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699b…01cfbacked Queens50c69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd9…e460backed Austin Peay50c64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc948…cccebacked Austin Peay50c53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa902…b947backed Austin Peay50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf81b…c09fbacked Austin Peay50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x580f…b4fbbacked Austin Peay50c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6579…29f7backed Queens50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdedf…b4c3backed Austin Peay50c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+72.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a6…5e9bbacked Austin Peay50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d85…c178backed Queens50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d1…3269backed Queens50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a4f…f6bdbacked Queens50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-50%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0871…eaf8backed Austin Peay50c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3e…9a55backed Austin Peay50c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+60.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x152b…39ecbacked Austin Peay50c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4b8…fbeabacked Queens50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb42e…7f0abacked Austin Peay50c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+69.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa888…4ca4backed Queens50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x246f…1c93backed Austin Peay50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42e4…dfd2backed Queens50c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c72…9798backed Austin Peay50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8803…220ebacked Queens50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b5…9338backed Queens50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1611…d9efbacked Queens50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f05…604dbacked Austin Peay50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee7…4010backed Austin Peay50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa512…1cb3backed Austin Peay50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb94…14b7backed Austin Peay50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ae…1af6backed Queens50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a96…7bedbacked Queens50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…dc6dbacked Austin Peay50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23c2…161fbacked Queens50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1714…2d43backed Queens50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3004…0701backed Austin Peay50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe487…e94ebacked Queens50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf941…4149backed Austin Peay50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f8c…dd6abacked Austin Peay50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…7ea1backed Austin Peay50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ad…2b27backed Queens50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f15…9cc8backed Austin Peay50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b33…530abacked Austin Peay50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc61…e0a8backed Austin Peay50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ded…a6c5backed Austin Peay50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9827…61c6backed Queens50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00fe…4286backed Queens50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45a1…56aabacked Queens50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc50c…ff54backed Queens50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ae…8baebacked Austin Peay49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6db…bf8abacked Austin Peay50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x352b…718dbacked Austin Peay50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+62.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e2…f7a2backed Queens50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70e6…5038backed Queens50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x151d…8df0backed Austin Peay49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c0c…16afbacked Austin Peay49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a56…eb19backed Austin Peay49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d53…246cbacked Queens50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e45…e978backed Austin Peay49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca74…9667backed Austin Peay49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7715…7191backed Austin Peay48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e63…60bdbacked Austin Peay48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf76e…e65dbacked Austin Peay49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fe2…0899backed Austin Peay48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e2…dd15backed Queens51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c0…5a5abacked Queens51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d51…bed1backed Queens51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdb…73d2backed Queens51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83f5…f54cbacked Queens51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaf1…ef0cbacked Austin Peay49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb298…2000backed Austin Peay48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee24…3702backed Austin Peay49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b80…8c32backed Austin Peay48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd3…c0babacked Austin Peay48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1203…6529backed Austin Peay48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdfc…3633backed Austin Peay48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6fd…1049backed Austin Peay48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf324…c712backed Queens51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7623…af01backed Queens51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f9…bbbcbacked Queens51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f24…9608backed Queens51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b4…0126backed Queens52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x423d…ee35backed Queens52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe63a…cf8ebacked Queens52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d8…adc0backed Queens52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf46…f838backed Queens52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95c9…995cbacked Queens52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b55…6ac7backed Queens52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9088…0ed5backed Queens52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.