Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs alohasquad (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x293b75f33033818b97fb66f989e06e94a9583f1f87fda9fe2b69e67c0e801205
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, alohasquad
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed alohasquad | 30c | 986.38$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.58 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked alohasquad | 30c | 869.2$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.3 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Yellow Submarine | 77c | 861.99$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Yellow Submarine | 65c | 608.91$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.12 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked alohasquad | 49c | 380.34$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed alohasquad | 50c | 370.6$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.3 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4521…00c3backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 247.76$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…9f1bbacked Yellow Submarine | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Yellow Submarine | 73c | 169.43$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed alohasquad | 38c | 132.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Yellow Submarine | 76c | 131.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 109.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed alohasquad | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked alohasquad | 25c | 92.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yellow Submarine | 76c | 92.51$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cf…d71bbacked alohasquad | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed alohasquad | 25c | 63.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4e…1c13backed alohasquad | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 48.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed alohasquad | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Yellow Submarine | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed alohasquad | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…db6bbacked Yellow Submarine | 73c | 25.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5d…f274backed Yellow Submarine | 74c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Yellow Submarine | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs alohasquad (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs alohasquad - Game 1 Winner alohasquad won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs alohasquad - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.