Tennis · resolved market
ITF Lakewood: Tatum Evans vs Kristina Penickova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x293f6a223b166e8a8645e3e41fb84d1b56c20587202e42cc048832ce91483907
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kristina Penickovaof Tatum Evans, Kristina Penickova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Tatum Evans | 54c | 1,223$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.65 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kristina Penickova | 45c | 660$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kristina Penickova | 48c | 619.98$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.39 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Tatum Evans | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kristina Penickova | 50c | 375.05$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.72 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Kristina Penickova | 47c | 352.79$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.92 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Tatum Evans | 53c | 317.25$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.13 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kristina Penickova | 46c | 285.57$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.21 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed Kristina Penickova | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…20e4backed Tatum Evans | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 102 | 64.7%66 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kristina Penickova | 48c | 147.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kristina Penickova | 47c | 136.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Tatum Evans | 52c | 96.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Tatum Evans | 45c | 91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tatum Evans | 27c | 77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d1…cac5backed Tatum Evans | 52c | 67.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…7d2ebacked Tatum Evans | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Kristina Penickova | 49c | 38.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Kristina Penickova | 47c | 21.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Kristina Penickova | 49c | 20.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Kristina Penickova | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Kristina Penickova | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 180 | 72.8%131 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.