TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,666
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,963

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,666 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c18,286$8,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,625.7284443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Under56c15,775$8,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,801.7310860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6dd…40cebacked Over73c12,084$8,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,229.122352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under37c9,888$3,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,654.692,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under41c6,166$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,541.83,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under55c5,852$3,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,218.4215644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over50c5,820$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9104456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over45c5,613$2,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,091.2884342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70048845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under52c4,531$2,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,355.9437355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,407$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.3647856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ce…ab3abacked Over50c3,785$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.47580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+71%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Under55c2,921$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.4411639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under45c2,552$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.312,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c2,462$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.569,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29ac…ea58backed Over54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.991040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Over45c1,934$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.78859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c1,731$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.091,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under46c1,270$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.2518743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under31c1,254$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.711,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over51c1,218$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.4840451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under36c1,142$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.0627937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xb18d…3464backed Over45c1,074$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.945160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over53c908.57$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.526764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over46c817.47$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.334255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over56c601.22$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.412,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a8…2dedbacked Over47c514.47$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.423743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over41c466.15$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.186448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Under28c450$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.57839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008026.3%21 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under50c377$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.541649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under37c372.8$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2446255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Under58c371.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.7670147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over48c323.66$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.31,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under27c292$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5826639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over53c287$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6431345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under51c286.08$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.672,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Over50c279.36$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.6832151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under46c276.73$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.31,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over43c267.5$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.871662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Under28c264.54$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4612637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Over48c245.44$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6317042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under50c241.74$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.937665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf1ba…3bccbacked Under24c232$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.683030%9 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+10%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x578a…6f10backed Over50c195.62$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.641546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c9…52afbacked Over51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.251457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under30c160$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3531238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under44c139$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1978639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over53c137.9$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8637753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d6…aedbbacked Over45c115.74$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5410657.5%61 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under43c115.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8861638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over51c114.19$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9534849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Under25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167326%19 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c95.63$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.111,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under46c92$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7640440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a61…4db6backed Under51c90.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.091662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1802…b1aebacked Under31c90$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.631127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under47c85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5380440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44d5…1a5bbacked Under46c84.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.73231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under34c78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6345544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Over48c77.12$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.18347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Under17c69.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.036621.2%14 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Under27c67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.25334%18 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over50c65.47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8627463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x941e…c622backed Over45c64.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.467960.8%48 W · 31 L+9.5wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3158…be0dbacked Under18c62.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Under56c56.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1510034%34 W · 66 L-12.0wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under52c55.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.821,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Under30c53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.923441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over48c52.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2927553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under48c51.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9115353.6%82 W · 71 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under32c50.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0610028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.522044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under44c44.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6914264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Over45c42.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.644841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x089b…c619backed Under57c42.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.368749.4%43 W · 44 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under50c42.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3465045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Over47c41.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8419166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfad4…379bbacked Over47c40.52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5710347.6%49 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea15…a9dabacked Over48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.994841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8cd…e77cbacked Over49c36.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.671872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+61.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf504…560bbacked Under31c34.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.841533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under46c34.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over48c34.62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under46c32.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8418444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba77…efa0backed Over46c31.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.091361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Under39c29.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2614931.5%47 W · 102 L-18.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1bdc…0c38backed Over44c28.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.027057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc215…c9bcbacked Over52c28.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.45944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf8f…273abacked Over52c27.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.251952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under46c24.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.321040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Under51c23.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1316053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1a8…dab3backed Over45c23.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.981770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe65…0546backed Under58c23.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.481850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Over45c22.84$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.569641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over47c22.12$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.812227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under71c20.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9233159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18dd…6bf2backed Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88132.1%26 W · 55 L-10.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.