CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a5dcfd6bb8f7f53d0dce6d82689480c35a7f4c89d52e9cf05396f1863303e19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LPH Gamingof LPH Gaming, HEROIC Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked LPH Gaming | 59c | 1,427$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.78 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked HEROIC Academy | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…1ccbbacked HEROIC Academy | 43c | 650$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f6…1e91backed HEROIC Academy | 43c | 650$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b75…0318backed HEROIC Academy | 43c | 560$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked HEROIC Academy | 51c | 449.35$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.79 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed HEROIC Academy | 44c | 397.71$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e3…94b7backed LPH Gaming | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed64…3260backed LPH Gaming | 57c | 340$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bba…501abacked LPH Gaming | 57c | 340$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed LPH Gaming | 80c | 336.25$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed LPH Gaming | 56c | 316$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5f…edb8backed LPH Gaming | 57c | 310$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…c460backed LPH Gaming | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked HEROIC Academy | 42c | 239.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked HEROIC Academy | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…51e7backed LPH Gaming | 57c | 220$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed LPH Gaming | 60c | 165.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…cdb7backed HEROIC Academy | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…22d1backed LPH Gaming | 52c | 151.19$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…e488backed HEROIC Academy | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…7824backed LPH Gaming | 56c | 125.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked LPH Gaming | 72c | 119.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed LPH Gaming | 56c | 83.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked HEROIC Academy | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LPH Gaming | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked LPH Gaming | 55c | 50.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…2a21backed HEROIC Academy | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LPH Gaming | 70c | 35.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed HEROIC Academy | 30c | 35.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.