Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ad7b2087348fa2f1a177dd63b6cd332aa5fbaf31531596420f0d70b2a14034a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof Team Lynx, Team Syntax
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x301c…86bbbacked Team Syntax | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Syntax | 8c | 3,275$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.91 | 1,202 | 42.8%514 W · 688 L | +38.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Team Syntax | 18c | 1,116$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…caa8backed Team Syntax | 14c | 754.06$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Syntax | 10c | 480.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 444 | 38.7%172 W · 272 L | -43.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…c059backed Team Syntax | 5c | 400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Team Syntax | 6c | 378.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Team Syntax | 6c | 278$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…f4b8backed Team Syntax | 6c | 262.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…f3fcbacked Team Syntax | 8c | 249.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…affdbacked Team Syntax | 13c | 181.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Lynx | 80c | 136.15$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 911 | 38.2%348 W · 563 L | -45.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Syntax | 15c | 88.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 657 | 47.8%314 W · 343 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Team Lynx | 72c | 65.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Syntax | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…f3c8backed Team Lynx | 79c | 36.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked Team Lynx | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Syntax (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BTeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Syntax - Game 2 WinnerTeam Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.