Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Grambling State Tigers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ada60412d2f51e45c83186baba1ca1aa6157662f13df878c8675c3178ae9f6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Prairie View A&M Panthersof Grambling State Tigers, Prairie View A&M Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Grambling State Tigers | 53c | 2,260$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.2 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Prairie View A&M Panthers | 47c | 903.58$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.83 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Grambling State Tigers | 53c | 745.98$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.26 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Prairie View A&M Panthers | 47c | 728.07$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.33 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers | 47c | 565.82$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.38 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Prairie View A&M Panthers | 47c | 473.65$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.48 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Prairie View A&M Panthers | 61c | 410.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.73 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Prairie View A&M Panthers | 47c | 380$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers | 50c | 314.93$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.44 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Grambling State Tigers | 53c | 283.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.14 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Grambling State Tigers | 50c | 268.08$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.52 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Grambling State Tigers | 52c | 259$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…2a88backed Grambling State Tigers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…228abacked Prairie View A&M Panthers | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Grambling State Tigers | 31c | 94.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x161b…e1fdbacked Grambling State Tigers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…c534backed Grambling State Tigers | 53c | 93.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Prairie View A&M Panthers | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Grambling State Tigers | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Prairie View A&M Panthers | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Prairie View A&M Panthers | 49c | 49.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Grambling State Tigers | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Prairie View A&M Panthers | 48c | 38.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Grambling State Tigers | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Grambling State Tigers | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Grambling State Tigers | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Grambling State Tigers (-2.5)this page
- Grambling State Tigers vs. Prairie View A&M PanthersPrairie View A&M Panthers won
- Grambling State Tigers vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers: O/U 150.5Under won
- Grambling State Tigers vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers: O/U 151.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.