Cricket · resolved market
Will the Chennai Super Kings win the 2025 Indian Premier League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b1349563ce0adf8b5ad7e242ff71a52f7d8ceca4031bf9919a1ce339603ee57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 28,334$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.07 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 16,115$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc299…c911backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…77eebacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 6c | 3,870$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20c…2629backed Yes | 0c | 3,627$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,255$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…7061backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 399$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d4…7656backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Chennai Super Kings win the 2025 Indian Premier League?this page
- Will the Delhi Capitals win the 2025 Indian Premier League?No won
- Will the Gujarat Titans win the 2025 Indian Premier League?No won
- Will the Kolkata Knight Riders win the 2025 Indian Premier League?No won
- Will the Lucknow Super Giants win the 2025 Indian Premier League?No won
- Will the Mumbai Indians win the 2025 Indian Premier League?No won
- Will the Punjab Kings win the 2025 Indian Premier League?No won
- Will the Rajasthan Royals win the 2025 Indian Premier League?No won
- Will the Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2025 Indian Premier League?Yes won
- Will the Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2025 Indian Premier League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.